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class="news_title">钢铁行业业绩预告?公司“跳水”,?家逆势大涨60%</div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_nform"> 【字体选择?a class="black" href="javascript:fontZoom(16)">?/a> <a class="black" href="javascript:fontZoom(14)"> ?/a> <a class="black" href="javascript:fontZoom(12)">?/a>?<font class="f12">2020/2/3 9:52:43</font>) </div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_key"> 关键词:钢材 钢铁 钢材?钢铁?湖南钢材 湖南钢铁</div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_img"><a ><img src="http://orzela.com/flashindex/tmxc735.jpg" width="735" height="60" border="0"></a></div> <div class="news_content" id="fontzoom"><P> <span style="font-size: small;">近期,钢铁行业已经有9家上市公司披露业绩预告,其中8家公司的归属净利润出现下滑,其?家的同比跌幅大于50%,只有武进不锈的归属净利润出现较为明显的上涨。究其原因,主要与钢铁冶炼行业上游原材料价格波动、下游行业的景气程度和行业本身的产能释放及产销管理水平密切相关?br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /> </span> <span style="font-size: small;">据我们不完全统计,截?020??0日,已经?家A股钢铁冶炼行业上市公司披露了2019年度业绩预告。其中,鞍钢股份(证券代码:000898.SZ)、凌钢股份(证券代码?00231.SH)、八一钢铁(证券代码:600581.SH)、柳钢股份(证券代码?01003.SH)、杭钢股份(证券代码?00126.SH)和安阳钢铁(证券代码:600569.SH)等6家上市公司,预期2019年度归属净利润同比下滑超过50%,跌幅显著。另有华菱钢铁(证券代码?00932.SZ)和河钢股份(证券代码:000709.SZ?家上市公司,预期2019年度归属净利润同比跌幅?5%-50%之间?019年度,钢铁冶炼行业出现了大面积经营业绩缩水的情况。在已披露业绩预告的业内上市公司中,只有武进不锈(证券代码:603878.SH)预计当期归属净利润同比增长?0%,比较亮眼?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">好在上述9家上市公司都未出现归属净利润亏损的情况,也算是不幸中的万幸了?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">6家公司预期业绩大跳水,或因上中下游不利因?ldquo;共振”<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /> </span> <span style="font-size: small;">具体来看,上?家预期业绩跌幅明显的上市公司中,安阳钢铁当期归属净利润?.60亿元?.80亿元之间,同比降幅约?6.00%?9.53%;八一钢铁当期归属净利润?.00亿元?.50亿元,同比减?5.72%?8.59%;鞍钢股份当期归属净利润约为16.00亿元,同比下滑约79.88%;凌钢股份当期归属净利润约为4.46亿元,同比下跌约63%;杭钢股份当期归属净利润约为9.40亿元左右,同比下降大?1.50%;而柳钢股?019年度归属净利润约为20.44亿元?4.99亿元之间,同比降?5.78%?5.65%,跌幅都比较大?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">据相关业绩预告披露,上述预期业绩大跌主要是因为行业产量继续上涨,以铁矿石为代表的原材料涨价明显,但钢材价格却出现下滑?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">首先,从钢铁冶炼行业自身产能释放的情况来看:据国家统计局提供的数据,2019年度,国内各月钢材产量累计值为10.42亿吨,与2018年各月钢材产量累计?.49亿吨相比,同比增长了9.80%,涨幅不小。据柳钢股份业绩预报披露,先前环保限产的边际影响减弱,导致了行业供给端产能释放加快。从而给下游的钢材销售和上游的铁矿石、煤炭等原材料采购带来了压力?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">其次,从下游行业的钢铁需求情况来看:据柳钢股份和鞍钢股份业绩预报披露?019年度,全球经济增速放缓,国内经济下行压力不断增大,国内汽车、家电、房地产等下游行业对钢材需求降低,影响钢材价格出现同比下滑。另据凌钢股份业绩预告披露,当期钢材价格同比下滑4.76%,对钢铁行业上市公司的收入产生了不利影响?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">最后,从上游原材料供应的角度来看:一方面,由于中游钢铁冶炼的扩产,增加了原材料、煤炭及相关辅料的需求,另一方面?019年度,全球钢铁行业遭遇了巴西淡水河谷溃坝和澳洲飓风袭击等对全球铁矿石供应产生严重影响的事件,钢铁冶炼的原材料,特别是铁矿石价格出现了显著上涨。据凌钢股份业绩预告披露?019年度,铁矿石进口?2%指数从年?9.46美元上涨?3.41美元,同比上?4.50%;日照港PB粉现货吨均价?01元涨?99元,同比上涨39%;地方矿辽西吨均价自512元涨?12元,同比上涨19%,涨幅都比较显著?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">2家公司预期业绩跌幅较小,或受益于产品结构和管理改?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">与上?家预期业绩同比跌幅超?0%的钢铁行业上市公司相比,河钢股份和华菱钢铁的同比业绩跌幅要小得多?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">据河钢股份业绩预报披露,2019年度,公司归属净利润约为27.00亿元?3.00亿元,同比跌幅约?5.54%?6.58%。另据华菱钢铁业绩预报披露,当期公司归属净利润约为42.00亿元?6.00亿元,同比下滑约32.15%?8.05%。虽然受限于行业不利因素的影响,归属净利润依然有所下跌,但是无论从当期归属净利润的绝对金额,还是从其同比下滑的幅度来看,都要显著好于上述6家预期业?ldquo;大幅跳水”的企业?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">造成这一差异的主要原因是什么呢?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">据华菱钢铁业绩预报披露,2019年度,在钢铁行业盈利水平同比下滑的行业背景下,公司持续推进精益生产、研销产一体化和营销服务体系建设三大战略支撑体系,加大产品结构调整和降本增效工作力度。公司的宽厚板、热轧品种钢、无缝钢管等品种仍然维持较好的毛利率水平。华菱钢铁预期业绩下滑幅度低于行业内多数可比上市公司,可能主要源自产品结构合理和管理提升效率、降低成本的原因了?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">武进不锈“一枝独秀”,或源于下游行业需求增?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">与上?家公司截然相反的是,武进不锈业绩预增公告披露?019年度,武进不锈实现归属净利润约为3.18亿元,同比增长约59.71%,实现扣非归属净利润约为2.94亿元,同比增长约60.35%。在钢铁冶炼行业中,该公司业绩逆势大涨?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">武进不锈能够实现预期业绩的逆势大涨,又是为什么呢?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">据武进不?019年半年报披露,截?019??0日,公司主营业务为工业用不锈钢管及管件的研发、生产与销售。主要产品包括工业用不锈钢无缝管、工业用不锈钢焊接管、钢制管件及法兰等。该上市公司的产品主要应用于石油、化工、天然气、电力设备制造及机械设备制造等行业?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">与大多数同行业可比上市公司受累于汽车、家电和房地产等下游行业的不景气,产品售价明显下滑的情况不同,据武进不锈业绩预增公告披露?019年度,公司下游石油化工等行业投资显著增长,国内大型项目对产品需求持续增加,公司产品面向石油化工领域销售稳中有升;不锈钢焊接钢管市场需求旺盛,销售明显增长。此外,在核电领域和光热新能源领域,武进不锈的产品在这些新兴及高端市场取得突破,销售有所增长。换句话说,公司因为其产品线相对同行的特殊性,在享受下游行业增长利好的同时,其承受中游同行扩产的压力要小得多,预期经营业绩逆势大涨,也就顺理成章了?/span> <span style="font-size: small;">来源:新浪财?/span> </P></div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_end"> </div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_msg">天贸钢铁网免责声明:<br> 天贸钢铁网所提供的信息及资料除原创外,有部分资讯从网络等媒体收集而来,版权归原作者及媒体网站所有,天贸钢铁网力求保存原有的版权信息并尽可能注明来源;部分因为操作上的原因可能已将原有信息丢失,敬请原作者谅解,如果您对天贸钢铁网所载文章及作品版权的归属存有异议,请立即通知天贸钢铁网,天贸钢铁网将立即予以删除,同时向您表示歉意!本信息仅供您参?未经许可,不得转载? <!--本信息仅供您参?未经许可,不得转载?br>本站部分内容摘自互联网,如果给您造成不便或侵犯了您的版权,请与我们联系?-></div> <div id="smbfwj5b" class="news_cmd"> [ <a href="javascript:window.external.AddFavorite(document.location,'$$title$$')"><font color="#000033">收藏该页</font></a> ] [ <a href="javascript:window.clipboardData.setData('Text',location.href);void('0');alert('已复制,您可以粘贴告诉您的朋友们!欢迎再次光临本站!');"> <font color="#FF0000">告诉朋友</font></a> ] 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